Prime Minister: Narendra Modi

The Age Of Stars

The gold airlift, liberalisation, and a floating rupee.

Vol. CXLIIIThe edition of 2017 · The Open Economy17 records
Prime Minister
Narendra Modi
Presidents
Pranab Mukherjee · Ram Nath Kovind
Finance Minister
Arun Jaitley
RBI Governor
Urjit R. Patel

Rupee per dollar

₹65.07

−3.1% on 2016

Inflation

3.33%

−1.62 pts on 2016

GDP growth

6.8%

−1.46 pts on 2016

Reserves

$412,614m

+14.1% on 2016

External debt

$511,576m

+12.3% on 2016

Brent crude

$54.12

+24% on 2016

Indirect tax; equities · 1 July 2017

GST rollout at midnight

Sensex opened 31,156.04 on 2017-07-03 and rose ≈337 pts to a high of 31,258 (≈+1%). FMCG, metals, consumer durables, realty and autos gained up to ≈3.5%.

The closing level for 2017-07-03 was not captured.

ReportedPress. Source: India TV News 2017-07-03; PIB PRID=1494580

Markets & Money

1 item

Telecom / political risk · 21 December 2017

2G special court acquits all accused

Ends the decade's biggest scandal case without a conviction (the CBI appealed).

ReportedPress. Source: The Quint; Business Today

Trade & Tariffs

2 items

Goods and Services Tax launched

From midnight 2017-07-01, 17 indirect taxes were subsumed

Slabs of 0/5/12/18/28%, plus cess. Integrated GST (IGST) replaced countervailing and special additional duties on imports, and exports were zero-rated. The early refund backlog hurt exporters (amounts not extracted).

ReportedOfficial record. Source: PIB PRID=1494580 "GST roll-out…"; 101st Amendment

RCEP still under negotiation; permanent WTO solution missed at MC11

MC11 (Buenos Aires, 2017-12) ended without a permanent solution on public stockholding

India's position paper argued for one.

ReportedOfficial record. Source: WTO MC11 India position paper (mc11_ps_fs_india.pdf)

War & Unrest

1 item

India–China–Bhutan trijunction

Doklam standoff

Indian troops blocked PLA road construction on the Doklam plateau, which Bhutan claims. Mutual disengagement on 2017-08-28, before the Xiamen BRICS summit. China-related trade and FDI scrutiny followed later. No large market effect found.

ReportedPress. Source: Wikipedia "2017 China–India border standoff"; The Diplomat 2017-08

The Ledger: what was borrowed in 2017

Full ledger →
CreditorInstrumentAmountUS$ mStatusGrade
IBRDFY2017 commitments1,530 USD1,530amortisingverified
IDAFY2017 transitional commitments508 USD508amortisingverified
Non-resident IndiansNRI deposit stock at end-Mar 2017116,867 USD116,867fell 7.9% y/y on FCNR(B) redemptionsverified
IDAOutstanding at end-Mar 201723,705 USD23,705amortisingverified
IBRDOutstanding at end-Mar 20179,338 USD9,338amortisingverified
Asian Development BankOutstanding at end-Mar 201710,795 USD10,795amortisingverified
JapanOutstanding at end-Mar 2017 (typical ODA loan terms 30 yrs incl. 10 grace)14,993 USD14,993amortisingverified
Germany / Russia / France / United StatesOutstanding at end-Mar 2017: 1,938 / 900 / 455 / 1553,448 USD3,448amortisingverified
ECB/commercial lenders (aggregate)Commercial borrowing stock at end-Mar 2017173,074 USD173,074verified
IMF"IMF" line at end-Mar 2017, SDR allocations (2009), not credit5,410 USD5,410verified
Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA), via a subsidiaryNIIF Master Fund equity commitment, plus a stake in NIIF Ltd1 USD bn1,000Signed 2017-10 (reported 2017-10-17).reported
All external creditors (aggregate stock)Total external debt, end-March 2017471.9 USD bn471,900Stockreported

Rows are listed as recorded. Some describe the same loan from different sources and must not be added together.

Turn to another year

1875 to 2017